The binary is the wrong picture, and holding the wrong picture is how people misjudge their own portfolios. Almost nobody is at either end. An investor who holds a broad index fund for the bulk of a portfolio and keeps a tenth of it in individual companies has taken a small active position. So has one who holds only index funds but shifts the mix when the outlook changes, or one who stops contributing because the market looks expensive. The useful question is not which camp you are in but how large the active portion is and what it would have to earn to be worth holding.
The counterparty is the half of the trade that is easy to forget. Buying a security means someone sold it to you at that price, and selling means someone bought. Both sides saw the same public filings and the same price. So an active decision is not simply a judgment that a company is good or that the moment is poor; it is a judgment that you have reached a better conclusion than the person taking the other side, who may be a professional doing this full time with better data. That framing does not make the judgment wrong. It sets the standard the judgment has to clear.
What trying costs, and why the costs are the certain half. Three arrive regardless of the outcome. The first is the bid-ask spread, the gap between the price at which a security can be bought and the price at which it can be sold at the same instant, which is paid on the way in and again on the way out, whether or not the broker charges anything else for the trade. It is typically widest on thinly traded securities, which are often the ones an active investor believes are overlooked. The second is tax, and it applies only in a taxable account: a gain realized on a holding owned for one year or less is taxed as ordinary income rather than at long-term capital gains rates, so selling early converts a lower rate into a higher one on the same profit. The third is time and attention, which is real even though no statement reports it.
The judgment being made is usually a judgment about other people. The ordinary reasons an active position is taken are behavioral rather than analytical: a company has been in the news, a sector has risen for two years, a decline feels like it must continue. Overconfidence bias, recency bias and herd mentality each describe a specific way that happens, and panic selling describes the version that shows up in a falling market. An investor considering an active position is generally better served by asking which of those is operating than by refining the forecast. The comparative record of professionally managed funds against their benchmarks is a separate question, and it belongs with index funds rather than here.