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Retirement Calculator

The savings you need to retire are what pays your spending, and the income tax on what you take out, every year until the age you plan to. This calculator projects each year from now to then: what you save into pretax, Roth and taxable accounts, and in retirement your Social Security, any pension, your required minimum distributions and the federal income tax on all of it, with a state rate if you set one, single or married. In the example, $60,000 a year after tax from 65 to 95 needs $1,119,146 in today's dollars. You can also compare ways of spending in retirement, and see how often your plan lasts across 1,000 simulated markets.

Last reviewed by Steven Fox, CFP®, EA on · Tested with multiple methods across thousands of scenarios. How we test calculators

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To spend $60,000 a year after tax from 65 to 95, you need $1,119,146 at 65 in today’s dollars. You’re on track: saving $15,000 this year, rising 2.5% a year, lasts to 95; $14,902 this year would be enough.

You need at retirement, in today’s dollars$1,119,146What you save now is enough · $14,902 this year would do
You
Filing status

How long the money must last.

Your savings

All retirement savings together.

Where it is
Taxable10%

Include any employer match.

Before costs and inflation.

Returns each year
Retirement

In today's dollars, after tax.

Income in retirement
More options
Where what you save goes
Taxable0%

Fund expenses and advisory fees.

In today's dollars, before tax.

Removes inflation from every figure.

Which year's official figures to use. Your entries stay as they are.

Which year's 401(k) and IRA limits.

At returns one point lower, 6.0% before you retire and 6.0% after, you would need to save $22,833 this year.

Each order of withdrawals: left after tax at the end, in today's dollars (pretax money at a 22% tax rate)

  1. In proportionMost left$47,360Federal tax in retirement $105,163
  2. Taxable first$17,042Your order. Federal tax in retirement $103,177
  3. Pretax first$16,080Federal tax in retirement $100,417
  4. Fill the 12% bracket$742Federal tax in retirement $103,820
  5. Fill the 22% bracketRuns out at 92Federal tax in retirement $150,643
Spending rules compared, at what you save now: after tax, in today's dollars
RuleLowest yearLifetime spendingLeft at 95
The same, plus inflation (yours)$60,000$1,860,000$17,042
Skip the raise after a loss$60,000$1,860,000$17,042
Guardrails$48,600$1,630,800$402,236
A constant percentage$40,215$1,462,420$774,419
The endowment average$40,151$1,428,788$856,202
Floor and ceiling$40,215$1,462,420$774,419
The RMD method$34,738$1,836,386$108,788
Spending that falls 2% a year$32,729$1,396,276$837,336

Your plan in numbers

  • At what you save now: $2,083,141 at 65, which lasts to 95. It could pay about $60,232 a year after tax, in today’s dollars.
  • The earliest age you could retire at what you save now: 65.
  • At 40, 2026's limits let you put up to $32,000 of your own pay into a 401(k) or 403(b) and an IRA ($24,500 + $7,500).
  • In the first year of retirement the plan takes 5.3% of your savings, counting dividends and net of anything reinvested; 4% is a common starting point for a 30-year retirement.
Your savings over your lifetimeSaving what you save now, you would have $2,083,141 at 65, and it lasts the whole plan.
Where your savings areSaving what you save now: your pretax, Roth and taxable money at the start of every fifth year of age.
Money coming in each yearEach fifth year of retirement: Social Security and pension, then what is taken from each account. It pays the year's spending and tax; anything left over, such as a required minimum distribution larger than the need, is reinvested in the taxable account. Federal income tax over the whole retirement: about $103,177 in today's dollars.
Your yearly spendingThe same, plus inflation, at what you save now: $60,000 a year after tax, in today's dollars.
Show the numbers
Saving what you save now: balances at the start of each year, in dollars of each year
AgePretaxRothTaxable
40$105,000$30,000$15,000
41$125,190$35,310$16,005
42$147,114$41,072$17,077
43$170,902$47,320$18,222
44$196,693$54,089$19,442
45$224,634$61,418$20,745
46$254,886$69,349$22,135
47$287,618$77,926$23,618
48$323,014$87,197$25,200
49$361,270$97,212$26,889
50$402,594$108,025$28,690
51$447,212$119,696$30,613
52$495,364$132,287$32,664
53$547,308$145,864$34,852
54$603,319$160,499$37,187
55$663,694$176,270$39,679
56$728,749$193,258$42,337
57$798,822$211,551$45,174
58$874,278$231,244$48,200
59$955,503$252,438$51,430
60$1,042,915$275,240$54,876
61$1,136,959$299,767$58,552
62$1,238,112$326,142$62,475
63$1,346,885$354,498$66,661
64$1,463,824$384,977$71,128
65$1,589,516$417,732$75,893
66$1,662,763$446,973$0
67$1,646,127$478,261$0
68$1,625,000$511,739$0
69$1,598,986$547,561$0
70$1,567,657$585,891$0
71$1,530,553$626,903$0
72$1,487,181$670,786$0
73$1,437,011$717,741$0
74$1,379,471$767,983$0
75$1,313,951$821,742$0
76$1,239,791$879,264$0
77$1,156,288$940,812$0
78$1,062,682$1,006,669$0
79$958,160$1,077,136$0
80$841,848$1,152,535$0
81$712,810$1,233,213$0
82$570,041$1,319,538$0
83$412,460$1,411,905$0
84$238,912$1,510,739$0
85$48,156$1,616,490$0
86$0$1,586,138$0
87$0$1,497,258$0
88$0$1,397,159$0
89$0$1,284,931$0
90$0$1,159,596$0
91$0$1,020,105$0
92$0$865,333$0
93$0$694,073$0
94$0$505,029$0
95$0$296,811$0
Saving what you save now: each year of retirement, in dollars of each year
AgeSS + pensionFrom savingsFederal taxSpending
65$0$111,425$188$111,237
66$0$124,327$10,309$114,018
67$0$127,435$10,567$116,868
68$0$130,621$10,831$119,790
69$0$133,886$11,102$122,784
70$0$137,233$11,379$125,854
71$0$140,664$11,664$129,000
72$0$144,181$11,955$132,225
73$0$147,785$12,254$135,531
74$0$151,480$12,561$138,919
75$0$155,267$12,875$142,392
76$0$159,149$13,197$145,952
77$0$163,127$13,526$149,601
78$0$167,206$13,865$153,341
79$0$171,386$14,211$157,174
80$0$175,670$14,566$161,104
81$0$180,062$14,931$165,131
82$0$184,564$15,304$169,260
83$0$189,178$15,687$173,491
84$0$193,907$16,079$177,828
85$0$182,274$0$182,274
86$0$186,831$0$186,831
87$0$191,502$0$191,502
88$0$196,289$0$196,289
89$0$201,197$0$201,197
90$0$206,227$0$206,227
91$0$211,382$0$211,382
92$0$216,667$0$216,667
93$0$222,083$0$222,083
94$0$227,635$0$227,635
95$0$233,326$0$233,326
Saving what you save now: withdrawals from each account, in dollars of each year
AgePretaxRothTaxableRequired
65$35,532$0$74,375$0
66$124,327$0$0$0
67$127,435$0$0$0
68$130,621$0$0$0
69$133,886$0$0$0
70$137,233$0$0$0
71$140,664$0$0$0
72$144,181$0$0$0
73$147,785$0$0$0
74$151,480$0$0$0
75$155,267$0$0$53,413
76$159,149$0$0$52,312
77$163,127$0$0$50,493
78$167,206$0$0$48,304
79$171,386$0$0$45,410
80$175,670$0$0$41,676
81$180,062$0$0$36,743
82$184,564$0$0$30,813
83$189,178$0$0$23,303
84$193,907$0$0$14,221
85$48,156$134,119$0$3,010
86$0$186,831$0$0
87$0$191,502$0$0
88$0$196,289$0$0
89$0$201,197$0$0
90$0$206,227$0$0
91$0$211,382$0$0
92$0$216,667$0$0
93$0$222,083$0$0
94$0$227,635$0$0
95$0$233,326$0$0

What this uses

Investment return
7.0% a year until you retire and 7.0% a year after, before costs and inflation, the same every year. An AdviceOnly house default, deliberately below an all-equity history: the S&P 500 returned 10.18% a year including dividends from January 1926 to September 2023.
Inflation
2.5% a year. It raises your spending, your Social Security and the tax brackets and deductions. An AdviceOnly house default, between the Federal Reserve’s 2% longer-run objective (measured on the PCE price index) and the 2.98% the Consumer Price Index compounded at from 1926 to 2024.
Plan to age
The money must last until you are 95. A planning convention, not a forecast of how long you will live. Set it older to plan with more margin.
Federal income tax
Figured every year of retirement from the 2026 law, with its brackets and deductions raised by the inflation rate you set, as single. No credits or itemized deductions. Rev. Proc. 2025-32 (the 2026 brackets, standard deduction and capital-gains rates); 26 U.S.C. 1(f), 1(j), 63(c) and 63(f) (inflation indexing); 26 U.S.C. 151(d)(5)(C) (the senior deduction, 2025 through 2028); Publication 915 (the taxable part of Social Security).
While you work
No income tax is figured except 15% on the taxable account's dividends, and no required minimum distributions are taken before you retire. Your income before you retire is not asked for; what you save stands for it.
Required minimum distributions
From 73 if you were born 1951 to 1959 and from 75 if born 1960 or later, by the Uniform Lifetime Table, taken in the year you reach the age. What you do not need is reinvested in the taxable account after tax. 26 U.S.C. 401(a)(9)(C)(v); 26 CFR 1.401(a)(9)-9(c). The age for 1959 births is 73 under proposed regulations (REG-103529-23, 89 FR 58644).
Early withdrawals
Pretax withdrawals, and Roth earnings above what you put in, carry a 10% additional tax in a year you are under 60 at the end of the year. 26 U.S.C. 72(t)(1) (the law's age is 59½); 26 U.S.C. 408A(d)(4)(B) (Roth contributions come out first).
Taxable account
Dividends of 2.0% a year, all qualified; each sale taxed on the account's average gain as long-term gain; net investment income tax of 3.8% above $200,000 of income ($250,000 married filing jointly). 26 U.S.C. 1(h); 26 U.S.C. 1411.
Order of withdrawals
After any required minimum distribution: the taxable account first, then pretax, then Roth. The order you chose. Every order is compared on your numbers.
Investment costs
None taken from the accounts. You can add them under More options.
Timing
Savings go in at the start of each year, rising 2.5% a year, and withdrawals come out at the start of each year; growth is added at the end of the year and costs are taken after it. Saving or withdrawing monthly instead gives somewhat different balances.
Contribution limits
The 2026 limits for 401(k), 403(b) and Thrift Savings Plan deferrals and for IRAs, per person, at your age in 2026. For comparison only: they limit nothing in the projection Source
State income tax
None. You can set a flat rate under More options. The rate you set.

How to use this calculator

  1. Choose single or married filing jointly, then your ages, the age you want to retire and the age to plan to. 95 is a planning convention, not a forecast of how long you will live; plan older for more margin.
  2. Enter what you have saved for retirement and where it is: pretax (a traditional 401(k), 403(b) or IRA), Roth (a Roth 401(k) or Roth IRA), and the rest in a taxable brokerage account. Leave out your emergency fund.
  3. Enter what you will save over the next 12 months, including any employer match. Where it goes is under More options (80% pretax and 20% Roth unless you change it).
  4. Enter the yearly spending you want in retirement at today's prices, after tax. The calculator adds the income tax on your withdrawals, so leave it out of this number.
  5. Pick an order of withdrawals. Below the answer every order is compared on your numbers, so you can see what each would leave you after tax.
  6. Choose how you'll spend. With the same, plus inflation, your spending is the same in today's dollars every year; it is the plan the savings you need is sized for. The others come from published retirement-income research, and all but the last take over once your Social Security and pension have started:
    • Skip the raise after a loss: the same, except that your spending gets no inflation raise in a year after your savings lost money (tested in Morningstar's retirement-income research by Benz, Ptak and Rekenthaler in 2021, and by Arnott, Benz, Kephart and Guo since).
    • Guardrails: spending rises with inflation, and is cut or raised 10% when the share of your savings your spending draws on drifts more than 20% from where it started, with no cuts in the last 15 years (Morningstar's version of Guyton and Klinger's 2006 rules).
    • A constant percentage: the same share of your savings each year, never less than 90% of the first year's withdrawal (Morningstar, 2025).
    • The endowment average: that share of the average of up to ten years' balances, with the same floor (Morningstar, 2025).
    • Floor and ceiling: that share of your savings, kept within 2.5% below and 5% above last year's withdrawal plus inflation (Vanguard's dynamic spending rule: Daga, Clarke, Pakula and Bupp, 2021; tested by Morningstar in 2025).
    • The RMD method: your savings divided by the IRS Single Life Table figure at your age (for a couple, the older spouse's age while both are alive, then the survivor's), the way a required minimum distribution is figured; it never runs out, and spending falls instead (Morningstar, 2025).
    • Spending that falls 2% a year: your planned spending, falling 2% a year after inflation, since retirees' spending tends to fall as they age (Blanchett, 2014; Morningstar, 2024 and 2025). It starts in your first year of retirement.
    The four that take a share of your savings set your withdrawal before tax, so what it buys depends on the tax that year. Every rule is compared below the answer on your own numbers.
  7. Choose whether returns are steady or vary. Steady uses your return every year. Vary runs your plan through 1,000 simulated markets whose middle return is yours and whose spread you set, and shows how often your savings last and the range at each age. The same link brings back the same markets; Try another set of markets draws a new set.
  8. Tick Social Security or a pension if you expect one, and enter each benefit for the age it starts. Your Social Security Statement assumes you keep earning what you earn now until you claim, so if you plan to stop earlier, use an estimate with the earnings you expect. For a pension, enter the amount your plan quotes, how much of it is taxable, and for a couple the share paid to a surviving spouse.
  9. Try a lower return, before and after you retire, and a later planning age. Under More options you can also set a state income tax rate, investment costs, the taxable account's cost basis and dividends, the survivor's spending, and an amount to leave at the end.

The numbers already filled in are an example. Replace them with your own. If what you have may already be enough without saving more (Coast FIRE), the Coast FIRE calculator asks that question directly. For the minimum you must take from a pretax account in a given year, see the RMD calculator; for the tax on your Social Security in one year, the Social Security tax calculator. For how the whole plan fits together, see the guide to retirement planning.

How it's calculated

1. Each working year

What you save goes in at the start of the year, split between your accounts. Each account grows by your return, and yearly costs come out after growth. A taxable account also pays dividends, taxed that year at the rate you set and reinvested. No other tax is figured while you work. In the example, $150,000 saved now and $15,000 a year, rising 2.5% a year, grow to $2,083,141 by 65: $1,589,516 pretax, $417,732 Roth and $75,893 taxable, in dollars of that year.

2. Each retirement year

The calculator starts from the year's spending, raised with inflation, and counts the Social Security, pension and dividends that arrive. It takes any required minimum distribution, then withdraws from your accounts in the order you chose until the money after tax covers the spending. The tax is figured each year from the law: pretax withdrawals and the taxable part of a pension as ordinary income; up to 85% of Social Security, by the IRS worksheet on provisional income; dividends and the gain on each sale at the capital-gains rates, above your other income; the standard deduction with its additional amount from 65 and, through 2028, the senior deduction; the net investment income tax; and, before 59½, the 10% additional tax on early withdrawals. In the example's first year of retirement, at 65, the plan needs $111,237 and takes $74,375 from the taxable account and $35,532 from pretax, with $1,518 of dividends; the federal income tax on that is $188, in dollars of that year ($102 in today's dollars).

Future years' tax brackets and deductions rise with the inflation rate you set. Social Security's taxation thresholds, the net investment income tax thresholds and the senior deduction stay at the dollar amounts the law sets, and the senior deduction ends after 2028.

3. The savings and the saving you need

The savings you need at retirement are the smallest balance, divided between your accounts as your own would be, that pays every year's spending and tax to your planning age. The saving you need is the smallest amount this year, rising by the same 2.5% a year, that gets the plan there. In the example, $1,119,146 is needed at 65 in today's dollars, and $14,902 this year would reach it, a little under the $15,000 saved now. A married couple with the same numbers needs $1,085,377, because the joint brackets and standard deduction are wider. In the first year of retirement the example takes 5.3% of its savings; a 4% withdrawal rate is the common starting point for a 30-year retirement, which shows how little margin a plan sized to last exactly to its planning age keeps.

4. The orders compared

Each order of withdrawals is run on the same savings, and ranked by what is left at the end after tax, with pretax money counted at an heir's tax rate. In the example, in proportion leaves $47,360 in today's dollars, against $17,042 for taxable first, while filling the 22% bracket runs out at 92. The order that pays the least tax over your retirement is not always the one that leaves the most: an order that pays more tax early can leave less pretax money for later.

5. The earliest age you could retire

Separately, the calculator tries every retirement age from next year to 80 on what you save now, and reports the first one whose plan lasts. In the example that is 65. If your savings grow more slowly than prices after costs, an early age can work when a later one does not; the result says so when that happens.

6. This year's limits at your age

The part of the saving needed going to pretax and Roth accounts is compared with the most one person can put into a 401(k) or 403(b) as an elective deferral and into an IRA from their own pay in 2026: $24,500 plus $7,500 at 40, $32,000 in all. From 50 the limits add a catch-up contribution of $8,000 at work, if your plan offers one, and $1,100 for an IRA; at 60 to 63 the workplace catch-up is $11,250 instead. A married couple with a workplace plan each has two sets of limits. The comparison changes nothing in the projection.

7. A year under a spending rule

Until your Social Security and pension have started, every rule except Spending that falls 2% a year spends your planned amount, and from there the rule sets each year. Skip the raise after a loss, Guardrails and Spending that falls 2% a year set the year's spending, and the calculator withdraws what that spending and its tax need, in your order. The four others set the year's whole withdrawal from your savings before tax, and your spending is what that withdrawal, your Social Security and your pension buy after tax. The savings you need and the saving you need are always for the fixed plan: a rule that adjusts to markets has no single target. In the example, at steady returns and what you save now, guardrails pay $48,600 to $60,000 a year after tax in today's dollars, and a constant percentage pays $40,215 to $60,000, against $60,000 every year for the fixed plan. The four rules that take a share of your savings have no inflation step, so when your savings grow more slowly than prices, their spending falls in today's dollars. And as the draws move from the taxable account to pretax money, the same withdrawal carries more tax.

8. Returns that vary

With returns that vary, each year's return is drawn at random from a lognormal distribution whose middle value is your return and whose standard deviation is the spread you set; one year does not depend on the last. Inflation, dividends and costs stay as you set them. The calculator draws 1,000 such markets from a numbered set, runs your own plan, at what you save now, through each, and reports the share in which your savings last and the range of your savings and spending at each age: 8 markets in 10 fall inside the outer band and half inside the inner one. This is a Monte Carlo simulation. In the example, at a 12% spread and set of markets 1, the plan lasts to 95 in 46.4% of markets, and at 65 the middle market holds $1,085,588 in today's dollars, with 8 markets in 10 between $639,840 and $2,011,765. The rules are compared on the first 250 of the same markets, so the differences between them come from the rules, not the draws.

Assumptions and limits

  • One return every year before you retire, and one after, unless you choose returns that vary. A plan that just lasts to your planning age at an average return has no margin for a poor decade early in retirement (sequence of returns); the simulation shows how often it lasts across 1,000 simulated markets. The savings you need is sized at the steady return.
  • Simulated markets draw each year's return independently from a lognormal distribution whose middle value is your return and whose standard deviation is the one you set; inflation, dividends and costs stay fixed. From 1928 to 2025, history had more very bad years than this distribution predicts, so treat the range as a model, not a forecast. A band is the range at each age, not any one market's path.
  • The spending rules come from published retirement-income research, adapted in two ways: each except the declining one takes over once your Social Security and pension have started, with your planned spending paying the years before, and the rules that set a withdrawal set it before tax. The survivor's spending share applies to the rules that set spending; the others set the withdrawal whoever is alive. For a couple, the RMD method divides by the Single Life figure at the older spouse's age while both are alive, then at the survivor's.
  • Federal income tax, from the latest published year's law, plus one flat state rate if you set one. The federal inflation-indexed amounts rise at the inflation rate you set; the law indexes with the chained CPI-U and rounds down to $25 or $50. The state rate applies to your income other than Social Security, with no state brackets, deductions, exemptions or retirement-income exclusions, and no federal deduction for it. No credits, alternative minimum tax or itemized deductions. Medicare premiums, including the higher ones at high incomes, belong in your spending.
  • No tax is figured while you work except on taxable-account dividends, at the rate you set, and no required minimum distributions are taken before you retire. An IRA's minimums start at the applicable age whether you work or not; a workplace plan at the employer you still work for can wait.
  • The taxable account's dividends are all qualified; a sale is taxed on the account's average gain, as a long-term gain; no losses are harvested, and there is no step-up in basis at the first death.
  • Required minimum distributions start at the applicable age and use the Uniform Lifetime Table, not the table for a spouse more than ten years younger. The 1959 birth year's age of 73 comes from proposed regulations. What you do not need is reinvested in the taxable account after tax.
  • A couple's money is pooled under the older of you and passes to the survivor, who files as single from the year after the death, gets the larger of the two Social Security estimates and the pension's survivor share, and spends the share you set. A survivor under 60 keeps the money as a beneficiary, with no 10% additional tax and no minimum distributions; from 60 it is treated as their own. In law a survivor's Social Security is reduced if claimed before the survivor's full retirement age.
  • Before 59½, pretax withdrawals and Roth earnings above what you put in carry the 10% additional tax. The calculator's line is the year you turn 60, which, with withdrawals at the start of the year, can be up to six months early or late. The exceptions, such as leaving a job at 55 (the rule of 55) or equal periodic payments, are not applied, nor the Roth five-year rule.
  • A pension's tax-free part stays a fixed dollar amount for the number of payments the IRS Simplified Method allows, and then the whole payment is taxable. The pension field is for an employer's plan; a non-qualified annuity and rental income are taxed differently and are not covered.
  • Social Security is your own estimate, rising with inflation and paid for life, counted at the share you choose. The calculator does not work out a benefit or change it when you change the starting age. In law, the benefit formula is indexed to average wages until about 62 and benefits rise with a price index after that.
  • Savings go in, and withdrawals come out, at the start of each year. Ages are whole years at the end of each year; birth dates are not modeled. Nothing else changes: no windfalls, one-off costs, or changes in spending other than inflation and the survivor's share.
  • It does not model Roth conversions beyond what a bracket-filling order reinvests, returns taken from history year by year, inflation that varies, or income while you work. The 401(k) and IRA limits shown are the selected year's, per person, and are not projected.

Input field details

What to enter in each box, where to find the number, and how this calculator treats it. When two calculators give different answers from the same numbers, it's usually because they handle one of these differently.

Filing status

Single, or married filing jointly.

How this tool treats itMarried filing jointly adds your spouse’s age, planning age and Social Security. The joint return is used every year you are both alive, including the year one of you dies; after that the other files as single.

Not includedHead of household and married filing separately, and the two years of qualifying surviving spouse status, which need a dependent child.

Filing status in the glossary

Your age now

Your age at the end of this year, in whole years.

How this tool treats itEvery age is counted at the end of the year, one row per year. The same age decides which catch-up contributions apply to you this year: from 50, and a larger workplace amount at 60, 61, 62 and 63. Birth dates are not used, so someone born on January 1 counts as 65 for tax purposes one year later than the law does.

Allowed range18 to 75

Catch-up contribution in the glossary

Age you want to retire

The age you stop saving and start drawing on your savings.

How this tool treats itIt must be after your age now. If it is not, a retirement age one year from now is used, and the result says so. The earliest age you could retire at what you save now is worked out separately.

Allowed range20 to 80

Not includedThe exceptions that let some people take workplace-plan money before 59½ without the 10% additional tax, such as leaving a job in or after the year you turn 55.

Early withdrawal penalty in the glossary

Spouse’s age now

Your spouse’s age at the end of this year, in whole years.

How this tool treats itWhile you are both alive, the savings are treated as the older one’s, so the older one’s age sets the required minimum distributions and the 10% additional tax before 59½.

Allowed range18 to 90

Plan to age

The age your money must last to.

How this tool treats it95 is a planning convention, not a forecast of how long you will live. Set it older to plan with more margin. You are counted as alive through the whole year you reach it. It is never earlier than your retirement age.

Allowed range70 to 110

Longevity risk in the glossary

Spouse plans to age

The age your spouse’s money must last to.

How this tool treats itThe plan runs until the later of the two planning ages. After the first of you reaches their planning age, the other is the survivor.

Allowed range70 to 110

Saved for retirement now

The total of all your retirement savings today: 401(k), 403(b), 457(b), Thrift Savings Plan, IRAs, Roth accounts and any taxable account you have set aside for retirement.

Where to find itThe latest statement or online balance for each account.

Allowed range$0 to $20,000,000

Not includedEmergency savings, and money meant for a house or any other goal.

401(k) in the glossary

Where it is: pretax / Roth

The share of your savings in pretax accounts and the share in Roth accounts. The rest is taken to be in a taxable account.

Where to find itPretax: traditional 401(k), 403(b), 457(b), Thrift Savings Plan and IRA balances. Roth: Roth 401(k) and Roth IRA balances. Taxable: an ordinary brokerage account.

How this tool treats itPretax money is taxed as income when it comes out. Roth money comes out tax free once you are 59½ and the account is five years old. In a taxable account only the dividends and the gain on what you sell are taxed. If the two shares add up to more than 100%, the Roth share is reduced to fit, and the result says so.

Allowed range0% to 100% each

Roth IRA in the glossary

You save this year

What goes into your retirement accounts this year, including any employer match.

Where to find itYour pay stub or your plan’s statement shows your own contributions and the match; add anything you put into an IRA or a taxable account for retirement.

How this tool treats itAdded at the start of each year, and raised each year by the yearly increase under More options (2.5% unless you change it). The saving needed is the same kind of figure: this year’s amount, rising by the same increase, split the same way between accounts.

Allowed range$0 to $1,000,000

Employer match in the glossary

Expected annual return

The average yearly return you expect on your investments until you retire, before investment costs and before inflation.

How this tool treats itThe same return is used every year until you retire, in every account, unless you choose returns that vary. Growth is added at the end of each year and rounded to the cent. Returns are an assumption, not a forecast. Over the long run the S&P 500 returned about 10.2% a year nominally (January 1926 to September 2023, computed from Robert Shiller's series, dividends reinvested, before taxes, fees and any advisor cost), while consumer prices rose about 3.0% a year (1926 to 2024, computed from the CPI-U). Neither is what any single decade delivered, and a real portfolio is not an index: you cannot invest directly in one. Every figure this tool produces is a hypothetical illustration of the assumptions you entered.

Allowed range0% to 20%

Not includedReturns taken from history year by year.

Nominal return in the glossary

Returns each year

Steady uses your expected return every year. Varying runs 1,000 simulated markets around it.

How this tool treats itWith returns that vary, each year’s return is drawn from a lognormal distribution whose middle value is your expected return and whose spread is the one you set; one year does not depend on the last. Inflation, dividends and costs stay as you set them. The savings you need is still sized at the steady return. The simulation shows how often your own plan lasts across the 1,000 markets, and the range of your balance and spending at each age: a range at each age, not any one market’s path. A link brings back the same set of markets; “Try another set of markets” draws a new one. From 1928 to 2025 history had more very bad years than this distribution predicts, so treat the range as a model, not a forecast.

Not includedReturns taken from history year by year, and inflation that varies.

Monte Carlo simulation in the glossary

How much returns vary

The standard deviation of yearly returns, as a percentage.

How this tool treats itFrom 1928 to 2025, a mix of 60% U.S. stocks and 40% 10-year Treasury bonds, rebalanced each year, had a standard deviation of about 12% a year; mixes of 30% to 40% stocks, which compounded near 7%, about 8% to 9%; all stocks, about 19%. A wider spread lowers the chance your plan lasts. Used only with returns that vary.

Allowed range1% to 30%

Standard deviation in the glossary

Yearly spending in retirement

What you expect to spend each year once you retire, at today’s prices, not counting income tax.

How this tool treats itRaised with inflation every year. The income tax on what you take out is figured each year and added on top, so enter your spending after tax. State income tax is figured at the rate you set under More options; include Medicare premiums here, since they are not figured.

Allowed range$1,000 to $2,000,000

Not includedOne-off costs.

Financial independence number in the glossary

How you’ll spend

How much you take out of your savings each year once you retire.

How this tool treats itThe same, plus inflation is the plan the savings you need is sized for. The other rules come from published retirement-income research. Skip the raise after a loss: your spending gets no inflation raise for a year after your savings lost money. Guardrails (Morningstar’s version of Guyton and Klinger’s 2006 rules): your spending rises with inflation each year, is cut 10% when the spending rate is more than 20% above where it started and 15 or more years remain, and is raised 10% when the rate is more than 20% below where it started. The spending rate is your spending less your Social Security and pension, as a share of your savings, before tax. The next four set your yearly withdrawal from your savings before tax. A constant percentage: the same share of your savings each year, never below 90% of the first withdrawal. The endowment average: that share of the average of up to ten years’ balances, with the same floor. Floor and ceiling: that share of your savings, kept within 2.5% below and 5% above last year’s withdrawal plus inflation. The RMD method: your savings divided by the IRS Single Life Table figure at your age (the older one’s, for a couple); it never runs out, and spending falls instead. Spending that falls 2% a year: your planned spending, falling 2% a year after inflation. Every rule except the declining plan takes over once your Social Security and pension have started, and starts from your spending and withdrawal in that first year, except the RMD method, which sets each year’s withdrawal from that year’s balance and the Single Life Table figure from the first year on; until then you spend your planned amount. Because four rules set the withdrawal before tax, and some income and tax thresholds do not rise with inflation, what a withdrawal buys can change even when the withdrawal does not. The survivor’s spending share applies to every rule that sets spending (the fixed plan, the declining plan, skipping the raise and guardrails), not to the four that set a withdrawal. Every rule is compared on your own numbers below the answer.

Not includedRules that change spending by the odds of success from a simulation inside each year.

Safe withdrawal rate in the glossary

Order of withdrawals

Which accounts pay for each year after any required minimum distribution.

How this tool treats itTaxable first takes the taxable account, then pretax, then Roth. Pretax first takes pretax, then taxable, then Roth. Proportional takes from every account at once in proportion to its balance. Fill the 12% or the 22% bracket takes pretax money each year, from 60, up to the top of that bracket even when you do not need it all, then the taxable account, then Roth, then more pretax; what you do not spend is reinvested in the taxable account after tax. Before 60 the fill orders take the taxable account first, as taxable first does. Every order is compared on your own numbers below the answer.

Not includedRoth conversions.

Withdrawal strategy in the glossary

Social Security

Tick to count the Social Security benefit you expect.

How this tool treats itOff unless you tick it, which gives the more cautious answer. It is counted only from the year you retire, and only from the age you start it. Up to 85% of it is taxable, depending on your other income, as Publication 915’s worksheet figures it.

Social Security retirement benefits in the glossary

Pension

Tick to count a pension from an employer’s plan.

How this tool treats itOff unless you tick it.

Not includedAnnuities you bought yourself, rent and other investment income: they are taxed differently and count toward the net investment income tax, which a pension does not.

Defined benefit plan in the glossary

Your benefit a year

Your estimated benefit for the age you plan to start it, as a yearly amount in today’s dollars: a monthly estimate × 12.

Where to find itYour Social Security Statement, in your my Social Security account.

How this tool treats itYour Statement assumes you keep earning what you earn now until you claim (20 CFR 404.812(d)). If you plan to stop work or earn less before then, use an estimate with the earnings you expect, which is likely to be lower. The amount is not adjusted for the starting age, so if you change the age, enter the benefit for the new one. It rises with inflation.

Allowed range$0 to $100,000

Social Security Statement in the glossary

Starting at

The age you plan to start your Social Security benefit.

How this tool treats it62 is the earliest age for a retirement benefit (42 U.S.C. 416(l)(2)) and 70 the latest that raises it (402(w)); full retirement age is 67 if you were born on January 2, 1960 or later. A start age before your retirement age is counted from the year you retire.

Allowed range62 to 70

Full retirement age in the glossary

Spouse’s benefit a year

Your spouse’s own estimated benefit a year, in today’s dollars, for the age they plan to start it.

Where to find itYour spouse’s Social Security Statement.

How this tool treats itAfter one of you is gone, the survivor is paid the larger of the two estimates, from their own start age. In law a survivor’s benefit is reduced if it is claimed before the survivor’s full retirement age (42 U.S.C. 402(e)), so the survivor years can look better here than they will be.

Allowed range$0 to $100,000

Social Security survivor benefits in the glossary

Spouse starting at

The age your spouse plans to start their benefit.

Allowed range62 to 70

Pension a year

The yearly amount the plan quotes for the first year of payments.

Where to find itYour plan’s benefit statement or its estimate for the age you plan to start.

Allowed range$0 to $500,000

Starting at your age

Your age when the pension starts.

How this tool treats itCounted from the later of this age and your retirement age. If you are gone before it starts, your spouse is paid its survivor share from the age it would have started.

Allowed range45 to 80

Taxable share

The share of the first year’s payment that is taxable.

Where to find itBox 2a of the plan’s Form 1099-R, or its statement of your after-tax contributions.

How this tool treats itA pension is fully taxable if you paid none of its cost. If you paid in after tax, part of each payment is tax free: that part is a fixed dollar amount, for the number of monthly payments the law allows by your age when payments start (360 at 55 or under down to 160 over 70, or by your two ages together for a joint pension), and then the whole payment is taxable (26 U.S.C. 72(d)(1)(B)).

Allowed range0% to 100%

Rises with inflation

Tick if your pension rises each year with prices.

How this tool treats itCheck your plan: some pensions rise each year and some are fixed. The tax-free part stays the same dollar amount either way.

Pension COLA in the glossary

Paid to your spouse after you

The share of the pension your spouse keeps after you are gone.

How this tool treats itA private employer’s pension must offer your spouse at least 50% for life unless you both waive it (26 U.S.C. 401(a)(11), 417). Public pensions set their own rules; check your plan.

Allowed range0% to 100%

Joint and survivor annuity in the glossary

What you save: pretax / Roth

The share of each year’s saving that goes to pretax accounts and the share that goes to Roth accounts. The rest goes to the taxable account.

How this tool treats itAn employer match is pretax unless your plan says otherwise. If the two shares add up to more than 100%, the Roth share is reduced to fit.

Allowed range0% to 100% each

Roth 401(k) in the glossary

Return after you retire

The average yearly return you expect once you retire, before costs and inflation.

How this tool treats itUsed in every account from your retirement year on. A lower figure than before you retire is a common way to allow for a more cautious mix of investments.

Allowed range0% to 20%

Sequence of returns risk in the glossary

Inflation

The yearly rise in prices you expect.

How this tool treats itRaises your spending and your Social Security every year, and the tax brackets, standard deduction and capital-gains thresholds from the latest published year. 2.5% unless you change it. The law indexes those tax amounts with the chained CPI-U, not the rate you set, and rounds them down to $25 or $50; the Social Security taxation thresholds, the net investment income tax thresholds and the senior deduction stay at their dollar amounts, as the law fixes them.

Allowed range0% to 10%

Inflation in the glossary

Yearly increase in what you save

How much your yearly saving rises each year.

How this tool treats it0% keeps it flat; 2.5% keeps pace with the default inflation. Each year’s amount is this year’s raised by the increase once for every year from now, rounded to the cent.

Allowed range0% to 10%

Yearly investment costs

Your fund expenses and any advisory fee, as a yearly percentage of your balance.

Where to find itA fund’s expense ratio is in its prospectus or fact sheet; an adviser’s fee is in your agreement and in the firm’s Form ADV Part 2A.

How this tool treats itTaken from every account once a year, after growth, before and after you retire. Leave it at 0% if the returns you entered are already after costs.

Allowed range0% to 3%

Expense ratio in the glossary

Roth: what you put in, as a share

The part of your Roth money today that is your own contributions rather than earnings.

How this tool treats itIt matters only if you take Roth money before 59½. Contributions come out first and untaxed; earnings above them are taxed as income with a 10% additional tax. Every Roth contribution you make from now on is added to it.

Allowed range0% to 100%

Not includedThe five-year rules, and the pro-rata rule for a Roth 401(k).

Five-year rule in the glossary

Taxable account: what you paid, as a share

Your cost basis as a share of the taxable account’s value today.

Where to find itYour brokerage’s unrealized gain and loss page shows the cost basis of each holding.

How this tool treats itThe rest is gain, taxed when you sell. Each sale is taxed on the account’s average gain, as long-term capital gain. Reinvested dividends and money added later add to the basis.

Allowed range0% to 100%

Not includedCapital losses, short-term gains and the step-up in basis at a death.

Cost basis in the glossary

Taxable account: yearly dividends

The part of the taxable account’s return paid out each year as dividends.

How this tool treats itTaxed in the year it is paid, as qualified dividends. It is part of the return, not added to it: the account’s total return before tax is the return you entered.

Allowed range0% to 10%

Qualified dividend in the glossary

Tax on those dividends while you work

The rate your taxable account’s dividends are taxed at until you retire.

How this tool treats itFederal only: qualified dividends are taxed at 0%, 15% or 20%, plus 3.8% net investment income tax at high incomes. The state rate under More options is added to it. Income before you retire is not asked for, so this one rate stands for it; the tax is paid from the dividends and the rest is reinvested.

Allowed range0% to 30%

Net investment income tax in the glossary

State income tax rate

One rate for your state’s income tax on your income in retirement.

Where to find itYour state’s rate at the income you expect in retirement, or last year’s state return: the tax divided by your income.

How this tool treats itApplied every year you are retired to your income other than Social Security (your federal adjusted gross income less the taxable part of your benefits), and added to the tax on taxable-account dividends while you work. Many states do not tax Social Security; if yours does, raise the rate to allow for it. The state tax is figured with the federal tax, so your withdrawals rise to pay both.

Allowed range0% to 15%

Not includedState brackets, deductions, exemptions, credits and retirement-income exclusions, state early-withdrawal penalties, and the federal deduction for state tax.

State income tax in the glossary

Survivor’s spending, as a share

The share of your yearly spending the survivor spends after one of you is gone.

How this tool treats it100% assumes the survivor spends what the two of you did.

Allowed range50% to 100%

Survivor benefits in the glossary

Share of Social Security to count

How much of each Social Security estimate to count, from 0% to 100%.

How this tool treats itCount less than all of it if you want a margin for future changes to benefits. 0% gives the same answer as leaving Social Security off.

Allowed range0% to 100%

Heir’s tax rate on pretax money

The income tax rate you expect an heir to pay on pretax money left at the end.

How this tool treats itUsed only to compare the orders of withdrawals: pretax money left at the end is counted at what it is worth after this tax, Roth and taxable money in full.

Allowed range0% to 50%

Inherited IRA in the glossary

Leave at the end

The amount you want left at the end of the plan, in today’s dollars.

How this tool treats itCounted before any tax an heir owes on pretax money. 0 plans to spend everything by the planning age.

Allowed range$0 to $20,000,000

Inheritance in the glossary

Show in today’s dollars

Tick to remove inflation from every figure.

How this tool treats itDivides each year’s figures by one plus inflation, raised to the number of years from now. The answer is the same; only the dollars it is shown in change. The savings you need at retirement, at the top, is always shown in today’s dollars.

Questions

How much do I need to retire?
Enough to pay what you spend each year, and the income tax on what you take out, until the age you plan to. In the example on this page, someone who wants $60,000 a year after tax from 65 to 95, with no Social Security counted, needs $1,119,146 at 65 in today's dollars. Social Security or a pension lowers it: counting $24,000 a year from 67 brings it to $739,832. The answer depends most on your spending, the return you expect and how long you plan for, so try more than one of each.
How much should I save for retirement each year?
Enough that the plan lasts to your planning age. In the example, someone aged 40 with $150,000 saved would need to save $14,902 this year and 2.5% more each year after. A saving that stays flat has to start higher: $18,710 a year in the same example. At returns one point lower it would be $22,833 this year, which is why testing a lower return matters.
How are retirement withdrawals taxed?
Money from a traditional 401(k), 403(b) or IRA is ordinary income. Roth money is not taxed once you are 59½ and the account is five years old. From a taxable account, only the gain on what you sell is taxed, at the long-term capital-gains rates of 0%, 15% or 20% for investments held over a year, and dividends are taxed each year; at higher incomes the 3.8% net investment income tax is added to both. Up to 85% of Social Security can be taxable, depending on your other income. Before 59½, pretax money and Roth earnings generally carry a 10% additional tax as well.
Which accounts should I withdraw from first?
There is no single answer, which is why the calculator compares five orders on your own numbers. A common order takes taxable money first, then pretax, then Roth. Filling a low tax bracket with pretax money each year can lower the tax on required minimum distributions later. In the example, the order that leaves the most after tax is in proportion, with $47,360 left at the end in today's dollars, and filling the 22% bracket runs out at 92.
What is a required minimum distribution?
The least you must take each year from pretax retirement accounts once you reach the applicable age: 73 if you were born from 1951 to 1959, 75 if you were born in 1960 or later. It is the account's balance at the end of the prior year divided by a factor from the IRS Uniform Lifetime Table. Roth IRAs have none while the owner is alive. The calculator takes it every year from that age, or from your retirement if that is later (it takes none while you work), and reinvests what you do not spend, after tax, in the taxable account.
How is Social Security taxed?
Add half your benefits to your other income. Over $25,000 single or $32,000 married filing jointly, up to half your benefits are taxable; over $34,000 or $44,000, up to 85%. Those amounts are set in the law and have not risen with inflation, so a larger share of benefits is taxed over time. Each extra dollar you withdraw from a pretax account can make up to 85 cents more of your benefit taxable.
What changes when a spouse dies?
The survivor files as single from the year after the death, so the same income meets narrower tax brackets and a smaller standard deduction. The survivor keeps one Social Security benefit, not both: in law a survivor's benefit can be up to the deceased's full benefit, and is less if claimed before the survivor's full retirement age. The calculator gives the survivor the larger of the two estimates you enter. A pension may pay a reduced survivor share. In the calculator you set each spouse's planning age, the survivor's spending and the pension's survivor share, and it figures the tax in the survivor's years as single.
What are catch-up contributions, and when can I make them?
From the year you turn 50 you can put more into a workplace plan and an IRA than the standard limits allow. In 2026, a 401(k) or 403(b) takes up to $24,500 of your own pay, plus $8,000 of catch-up from 50, if your plan offers catch-ups; in the years you turn 60, 61, 62 or 63 the workplace catch-up is $11,250 instead. An IRA takes $7,500, plus $1,100 from 50. The limits are per person, and an employer match does not count against them.
What is the 4% rule, or a safe withdrawal rate?
A safe withdrawal rate is the share of your savings you can take in the first year of retirement, then raise with inflation every year, and still have money left after a set number of years. The 4% figure comes from William Bengen's 1994 study of US returns from 1926: with half in stocks and half in intermediate-term Treasuries, a first-year withdrawal of 4%, raised with inflation, lasted at least 33 years in every period he tested. Arnott, Benz, Kephart and Guo's 2025 study put the starting rate at 3.9% for 30 years with 40% in stocks and a 90% chance of lasting. Both rates are for a portfolio with no tax and no other income. In the example on this page the first year takes 5.3% of savings, counting tax, because the savings are sized to last exactly to 95.
What are retirement guardrails?
Rules that change your spending when the share of your savings it draws on drifts too far from where it started. In the version Morningstar tests in its retirement-income research, adapted from rules Guyton and Klinger published in 2006, the withdrawal rises with inflation each year, is cut 10% when the withdrawal rate climbs more than 20% above its starting level, and is raised 10% when it falls more than 20% below; the cuts stop in the last 15 years. (Guyton and Klinger's original also skips a year's raise after a loss when the rate is above where it started; Morningstar's version, used here, does not.) Accepting those changes lets you start with more. In the calculator the rule takes over once your Social Security and pension have started, and the share it tests is your spending, less your Social Security and pension, over your savings; the cut or raise is 10% of your spending. In the example at steady returns, guardrails pay $48,600 to $60,000 a year after tax in today's dollars, against $60,000 every year for the fixed plan.
What does a range of simulated markets tell me?
How often your plan lasts when returns vary from year to year instead of arriving at the same rate every year. The calculator draws 1,000 sequences of yearly returns whose middle value is the return you entered and whose spread is the one you set, runs your own plan through each, and reports the share of markets in which your savings last, with the range of your savings and spending at each age. In the example, at a 12% spread, the plan lasts to 95 in 46.4% of markets. The savings you need is the smallest amount that lasts at a steady return, so it keeps no margin for a bad run of years early in retirement; the share of markets that last shows how much that margin would matter. Between 1928 and 2025 there were more very bad years than this kind of model predicts, so read the range as a model, not a forecast.

Version history

  • September 26, 2026 (version 1.0.2): Chart bars in today's dollars now round the same way as the tables, which can change a bar's label in its last digit. With a state tax rate set, the orders list now says its tax includes state tax.
  • September 25, 2026 (version 1.0.1): A plan that runs short in any year no longer counts as lasting because its balance later grows past $10 billion. This changes only the chance of lasting when returns vary, and only in those rare cases.
  • September 25, 2026 (version 1.0.0): First version. Figures federal income tax, and a state rate you set, every year by account type, single or married; seven spending rules beside a fixed plan; and an option for returns that vary across 1,000 markets.

Sources

AdviceOnly maintains high editorial standards to improve the quality and accuracy of our educational content. Content is written with the assistance of artificial intelligence tools following a rigorous quality assurance process, and periodically reviewed by credentialed and experienced human financial advisors. References used include government data, academic papers, interviews with industry experts, and reputable primary sources. You can learn more about our efforts to produce accurate content in our editorial policy.

  1. IRS Publication 915 (2025): Social Security and equivalent railroad retirement benefits
  2. Rev. Proc. 2025-32: 2026 tax rate tables, standard deduction and capital-gains breakpoints (IRB 2025-45)
  3. Rev. Proc. 2024-40: 2025 tax rate tables and capital-gains breakpoints
  4. 26 U.S.C. 1: tax rates, indexing and the capital-gains rates
  5. 26 U.S.C. 63: the standard deduction and the additional amount at 65
  6. 26 U.S.C. 86: the taxation of Social Security benefits
  7. 26 U.S.C. 151(d)(5)(C): the senior deduction, 2025 to 2028
  8. 26 U.S.C. 1411: the net investment income tax
  9. 26 U.S.C. 72: annuities, the Simplified Method (d) and the additional tax on early distributions (t)
  10. 26 U.S.C. 401(a)(9): required minimum distributions and the applicable age
  11. 26 U.S.C. 408A: Roth IRAs, including the ordering of distributions
  12. 26 U.S.C. 417: survivor annuities for a participant's spouse
  13. 26 U.S.C. 7703 and 6013: marital status in the year of a death, and the joint return
  14. 26 CFR 1.401(a)(9)-9: the Uniform Lifetime Table
  15. 26 CFR 1.408-8: a surviving spouse treating an IRA as their own
  16. Proposed regulations REG-103529-23: required minimum distributions, including the 1959 birth year (89 FR 58644)
  17. IRS Notice 2025-67: 2026 limits on elective deferrals, catch-up contributions and IRAs
  18. IRS Notice 2024-80: 2025 limits on elective deferrals, catch-up contributions and IRAs
  19. 26 U.S.C. 414(v): catch-up contributions, including ages 60 to 63 and the Roth requirement
  20. 42 U.S.C. 402: survivor benefits (subsections e and f) and delayed retirement credits (w)
  21. 42 U.S.C. 416(l): full retirement age and early retirement age
  22. William Bengen, "Determining Withdrawal Rates Using Historical Data," Journal of Financial Planning, October 1994
  23. Guyton and Klinger, "Decision Rules and Maximum Initial Withdrawal Rates," Journal of Financial Planning, March 2006
  24. Blanchett, "Exploring the Retirement Consumption Puzzle," Journal of Financial Planning, May 2014
  25. Morningstar: Arnott, Benz, Kephart and Guo, "The State of Retirement Income: 2025," December 2025
  26. Vanguard: Daga, Clarke, Pakula and Bupp, "Sustainable spending rates in turbulent markets," research note, March 2021
  27. Aswath Damodaran, annual returns on US stocks, Treasury bonds and bills, 1928 to 2025 (NYU Stern spreadsheet, updated January 2026)

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